Today we get what we’ve been waiting for. The Men’s Singles draw is finally out for the French Open! I’ve taken an extensive look at the draw, and studied each possible matchup. Let’s just say this: things are looking good for me!
Top 4 Seeding: The million dollar question has been what side of the draw Rafael Nadal would get placed on. If you don’t know how the draw works, they flip a coin to decide which side the #3 and #4 seeds go on. Well, drum roll please…..Rafa is on Novak’s half! As a huge Fed fan I am ecstatic, because this means that Federer will not see Djokovic or Nadal until the Final if they get there. Instead, the #4 seed, David Ferrer, has been placed on Federer’s half. Federer owns Ferrer, with a Head to Head record of 13-0.
Possible Quarterfinal Match ups-Djokovic vs Tipsarevic or Haas, Nadal vs Gasquet or Wawrinka, Ferrer vs Berdych or Almagro, Federer vs Tsonga or Cilic. What does this mean? Well, the one that pops out is Tsonga vs Fed, but on clay you would have to give a pretty big edge to Rog. Ferrer’s quarter is wide open for somebody to make a run. Although Novak appears to have the easiest QF match ups, he may actually have the toughest draw.
Their Path to the Final
Novak Djokovic- Not an easy first round against 2012 Round of 16 player David “boy band” Goffin. Goffin is having a tough year, but his groundies should give us an entertaining first round match. An easier second round match against either Ivan Dodig or Guido Pella, who Novak should run right through. Third round gets scary. A possible match up against Grigor Showtime Dimitrov, who just beat him a couple weeks ago in Madrid. I would love to see that match.
He could then face Phillip Kohlschreiber in the 4th round, and Tipsarevic in the Quarters. He should win both those matches. In the Semis he will most likely play Rafael Nadal, which is what everyone wants to see. Probably the toughest path out of the top 3.
Rafael Nadal- Again, a tricky first round match. Daniel Brands is a big serving German, and we’ve seen how big servers can test Rafa(See Isner 2011). Second round he could face Martin Klizan, a young lefty. Third round things get interesting. At first glance you see that he could play Fabio Fognini. However, if you look closely, Lukas Rosol is looming. Oh how much money would I pay to see that. Just to see Nadal frustrated like that was priceless. In the 4th round Rafa could face Special Kei Nishikori, which would be fun to watch, but probably very one sided(Rafa).
He then could face one of the best one handed backhands in the game in either Gasquet or Wawrinka, but we know how Rafa does against one handers. The Semis(he should get there) will be the showdown with the Djoker. It looks easy, but there are some tricky matches for Rafa to get to the Semis.
Federer- I hope he is as excited as I am. He will play a Qualifier in each of his first two rounds. Pencil in two wins there. In the third round he could face Julien Benneteau, who beat him earlier this year in Rotterdam, and took him 5 sets at Wimbledon last year. Still, on clay Roger is the clear favorite. 4th round he could face Gilles Simon, who he just cleaned up 1 and 2 last week in Rome.
Quarter’s against Tsonga would be electric in Paris, but the clay would neutralize Jo’s biggest weapon, his serve. He could then face Ferrer, or really anybody in the Semi’s. Roger definitely has the easiest road to the final.
Coming Up Next: Chris and I make our picks for this years French Open.